Washington consumers have increased their total environmental
impacts by 24% since 2000. (Figure 1) On a per capita basis consumption impacts
have gone up 17%, mainly due to the 3.8% annual growth in per capita real
income from 2000 to 2005. Income growth explains more of the upsurge because
population growth in Washington
has only averaged 1.2% annually during the 2000-2005 period. It is no surprise
that more people, each spending more money, has a deleterious environmental
impact unless spending patterns change radically enough to offset the impacts
of both income and population growth.
CEI
would have declined by nearly 3% over the six year period if both population
and per capita spending (in constant dollars) had not increased. That is, Washington consumers
apparently are shifting the composition of their purchases in an
environmentally friendly direction. For example, the quantity of gasoline and
motor oil consumed in 2005 is below the 2002 peak for both.
Of
the three components of the overall CEI, the climate change impacts of Washington consumers
show the most progress. As indicated by the Consumer Climate Change Index graph
in Figure 2, on a constant real spending basis the greenhouse impacts of consumer
expenditures, use and disposal of goods and services declined by 9% between
2000 and 2005. Furthermore, GHG impacts on a constant real spending basis did
not trend up in 2001 and 2002 as they did in the overall CEI. On the other
hand, the Climate Change Index did grow in total by over 16% and per capita by
10%.
Figure
3 shows the Consumer Human Toxicity Index over the period 2000 through 2005.
Even on a per real dollar spent basis, human health impacts of Washington consumers
rose by over 1%. This suggests that the shift away from purchases of GHG generating
products such as gasoline and motor oil toward more climate friendly goods and
services, has not been accompanied by a shift away from products and services that
have the potential to harm public health.
In
total, the Consumer Human Toxicity Index went up 30%, and 23% on a per capita basis.
These are the largest increases among the three components of the overall CEI, just
nosing out the increases in the Consumer Ecosystems Toxicity Index.
In
terms of the three components of the human toxicity index – criteria air
pollutants, toxics and carcinogens, it is the carcinogens that are amplifying
the negative results for human health. The carcinogens component increased by
38% in total, 30% per capita, and 7% on a constant real spending basis. The
criteria air pollutant and toxics components, by contrast, declined between 1%
and 2% by 2005 on the constant real spending basis.
Figure 4 shows
the three trends for ecosystems toxicity from Washington consumption. Here as with human
toxicity, the constant spending index at first trended up. On a constant real
spending basis the Consumer Ecosystems Toxicity Index then turned down, but
rose again in 2005 to end at 101.4. In
total and per capita, the Consumer Ecosystems Toxicity Index went up 30% and 22.5%,
respectively.